Whilst doing my research for my many blog
posts on the Stoke on Trent Property Market, I know that a third of 25 to 30 year
olds still live at home. It’s no wonder people are kicking out against buy to
let landlords; as they are the greedy bad people who are cashing in on a social
woe. In fact, most people believe the high increases in Stoke on
Trent’s (and the rest of the UK’s) house prices are the very reason owning a
home is outside the grasp of these younger would-be property owners.
However, the numbers tell a different story. Looking of the age of
first time buyers since 1990, the statistics could be seen to pour cold water
on the idea that younger people are being priced out of the housing market. In
1990, when data was first published, the average age of a first time buyer was
33, today it’s 31.
Nevertheless, the average age doesn't tell the whole story.
In the early 1990’s, 26.7% of first-time buyers were under 25, while in the last
five years just 14.9% were. In the early 1990’s, four out of ten first time
buyers were 25 to 34 years of age and now its six out of ten first time buyers.
Although, there are also indications of how un-affordable
housing is, the house price-to-earnings ratio has almost doubled for first-time
buyers in the past 30 years. In 1983, the average Stoke on Trent home cost a
first-time buyer (or buyers in the case of joint mortgages) the equivalent of 2.5
times their total annual earnings, whilst today, that has escalated to 4.5
times their income (although let’s not forget, it was at 5.0 times their income
for Stoke on Trent first time buyers in 2007).
Again, those figures don’t tell the whole story. Back in
1983, the mortgage payments as percentage of mean take home pay for a Stoke on
Trent first time buyer was 25.9%. In 1989, that had risen to 55.5%. Today, it’s
28.6% … and no that’s not a typo .. 28.6% is the correct figure.
So, to answer the gentleman’s questions about the younger generation of Stoke on Trent being able
to afford to buy and if it was right for
landlords to make money on the inability of others to buy property? It isn’t
all to do with affordability as the numbers show.
And what of the landlords? Some say the government
should sort the housing problem out themselves, but according to my
calculations, £18bn a year would need to be spent for the next 20 or so years
to meet current demand for households. That would be the equivalent of raising
income tax by 4p in the Pound. I don’t think UK tax payers would swallow that.
So, if the Government haven’t got the money… who
else will house these people? Private Sector Landlords and thankfully
they have taken up the slack over the last 15 years.
Some say there is a tendency to equate property ownership
with national prosperity, but this isn’t necessarily the case. The youngsters of Stoke on Trent are
buying houses, but buying later in life. Also, many Stoke on Trent youngsters are
actively choosing to rent for the long term, as it gives them flexibility –
something our 21st Century society craves more than ever.
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