As we go full steam ahead
into 2019, it’s certain that the Stoke on Trent housing market in 2018 was a
little more restrained than 2016 and 2017 and I believe this will continue into
2019. Property ownership is a medium to long term investment so, looking at the
long-term, the average Stoke on Trent homeowner, having owned their property since
the Millennium, has seen its value rise by more than 173%.
This
is important, as house prices are a national obsession and tied into the health
of the UK economy as a whole. The preponderance of that historical gain in Stoke
on Trent property values has come from the growth in Stoke on Trent property
values, while some of it will have been enhanced by extending, modernising or
developing their Stoke on Trent home.
Taking a look at the different property types in Stoke on Trent, and the
profit made by each type, makes interesting reading..
|
Average
Price
Paid in 2000 in Stoke on Trent |
Average
Price
Paid in 2018 in Stoke on Trent |
Average
Total Profit in last 20 years in
Stoke
on Trent
|
Average
Householder Profit per Year in Stoke on Trent
|
Average
Annual % Increase in Stoke on Trent
|
Detached
|
£84,220
|
£214,500
|
£130,280
|
£7,238
|
8.6%
|
Semi
|
£46,641
|
£127,010
|
£80,369
|
£4,465
|
9.7%
|
Terraced
|
£28,066
|
£78,508
|
£50,442
|
£2,802
|
10.0%
|
Apartments
|
£37,457
|
£82,833
|
£45,376
|
£2,521
|
6.9%
|
Overall Average
|
£41,327
|
£109,668
|
£68,341
|
£3,797
|
9.6%
|
However, we can’t forget there has been just over 60%
inflation over those 18 years, which eats into the ‘real’ value (or true
spending power of that profit) … so if we take into account inflation since
2000, the true spending power of that profit has been lower.
|
Total 'REAL' Profit
After Inflation in Stoke on Trent |
‘Real' Annual
Profit in
Stoke on Trent
|
Detached
|
£79,536
|
£4,419
|
Semi
|
£49,065
|
£2,726
|
Terraced
|
£30,795
|
£1,711
|
Apartments
|
£27,702
|
£1,539
|
Overall
Average |
£41,722
|
£2,318
|
So the ‘real’ value of the profit, after inflation, in Stoke
on Trent has been £2,318 per year.. still nothing to sniff at.
I wanted to show you that even though we had the 2008/09
Credit Crunch property market crash where, depending on the type of Stoke on
Trent property, property values dropped between 15% and 20% in 18 months … Stoke
on Trent homeowners over the long term are still better off than those renting.
Moving forward, the question I get asked time and again is
what will happen in the future to the Stoke on Trent Property market? Irrespective
of what is happening in the World, Europe or even Central London, the biggest
factor over the medium to long term to ensure that this level
of house price growth is maintained in Stoke on Trent is the building of new homes both
locally and in the country as a whole. Whilst we haven’t had the 2018 stats
yet, Government sources suggest this will be nearer 180,000 to 190,000, a
decrease from the 2017 figure of 217,350 new households being created. When you
consider that we need to build 240,000 households to equal demand (immigration,
people living longer, higher divorce rates and people co-habiting later in life
etc) … demand will outstrip supply and unless the Government start to spend
billions building council houses .. this trend will continue for years (and
decades to come).
Another
factor is that whilst Stoke on Trent landlords have been hit with higher taxes
to enable them to actually be a landlord most, in every national survey, still
intends to increase their portfolio in the medium to long term. The youngsters
of Stoke on Trent see renting as a choice, giving them flexibility and options
that being tied to a home cannot give… thus meaning demand will continue to
grow and landlords will be able to enjoy increased rents and capital growth,
although those very same Stoke on Trent buy to let landlords will have to work
smarter in the future to continue to make decent returns (profits) from their buy
to let investments. Even with the tempering of house price inflation in Stoke
on Trent in 2018, most Stoke on Trent buy to let landlords (and homeowners) are
still sitting on a copious amount of growth from previous years.
The question is, how do you, as a Stoke on Trent buy to
let landlord, ensure that continues?
Since
the 1990’s, making money from investing in buy to let property was as easy as
falling off a log. Looking forward though, with all the changes in the tax
regime and balance of power, making those similar levels of return in the
future won’t be so easy. Over the last ten years, I have seen the role of the forward
thinking agents evolve from a person collecting the rent to a more all-inclusive
role; I call it, ‘strategic portfolio leadership’. Thankfully, along with
myself, there are a handful of agents in Stoke on Trent whom I would consider
exemplary at this landlord portfolio strategy where they can give you a
balanced structured overview of your short, medium and long-term goals, in
relation to your required return on investment, yield and capital growth
requirements. If you would like such advice, speak with your current agent – whether
you are a landlord of ours or not – without any cost or commitment, feel free
to drop me a line.
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