Can you remember 10.05pm on Thursday, 7th May
2015 ... with the shock news that BBC Exit Polls suggested the Conservatives
would be returned with majority? The middle classes in Milton and Norton-in-the
Moors exhaled a huge sigh of relief, as Stoke-on-Trent landlords, faced with
rent controls from Red Ed and the Labour Party, now had something to cheer
about as the Tory’s were always considered to be a political party that
accepted the importance of the rental market, supported its development while
properly targeting the lawbreaker landlords renting out below standard rental
accommodation.
Since May though, George Osborne announced future rises in
stamp duty for buy to let landlords and a change in the interest relief on buy
to let mortgages, some people have started to question that loyalty. However, things
could have been a lot worse for Stoke-on-Trent landlords as previous ideas of making
landlord’s pay more tax was the idea (which was seriously considered) of
increasing Capital Gains Tax rates to the landlord’s own income tax levels. If Landlords
would have had to pay capital gains tax of 40% to 45% on any uplift in value, I
can tell you here and now, that would have made investing in property a non
starter for almost everyone.
However, I will admit the loss of mortgage higher rate tax
relief will make a number of properties not stack up financially. The new rules
are likely to slow demand in the Stoke-on-Trent housing market, which is in fact
good news for the other landlords, as there is less competition from 'amateur' landlords
offering too much.
Just
a thought, but making Stoke-on-Trent landlords think twice and
run
their numbers more cautiously is not such a bad thing.
So looking at the numbers, the November figures have just
been released and they show a growth of property values in Stoke-on-Trent of 0.6%
over the month of November. That figure doesn’t surprise me due to the time of
year. It’s quite dangerous to look at one month in isolation, so looking at a
more medium term view, over the last 12 months, property values in Stoke-on-Trent
have risen by 5%, not bad when you consider inflation is running at -0.1%.
However, regular readers of the Stoke-on-Trent Property Blog
know my passion for looking deeper into the stats. The really interesting information
is the value growth, but what types of property are actually selling in Stoke-on-Trent?
Looking at all the
properties sold, as recorded by the Land Registry, within 3 miles of the centre
of Stoke-on-Trent in September 2015 (this data always runs a couple of months
behind the house price data) compared to September 2007 (a couple of months before the credit crunch started to bite and the
subsequent property crash).
|
Sept 2007
|
Sept 2015
|
Difference
|
Detached in Stoke-on-Trent
|
16
|
29
|
+81%
|
Semis in Stoke-on-Trent
|
109
|
77
|
-29%
|
Terraced Houses in Stoke-on-Trent
|
206
|
117
|
-43%
|
Apartments / Flats in Stoke-on-Trent
|
76
|
15
|
-80%
|
Now I have mentioned in previous articles that the numbers
of properties selling in the town has certainly dropped post 2008, but what
amazed me were the drop in the number of semis, terraces and in particular the apartments
selling in Stoke-on-Trent, compared to the sales of detached properties, which rose
considerably.
Less
properties are selling than last decade in Stoke-on-Trent
and the
types of properties selling have changed ...
interesting
times ahead for the Stoke-on-Trent Property market!
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